Reading vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
PLY
2 - 2
REA
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
COV
3 - 2
REA
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
REA
4 - 0
CRE
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
REA
1 - 1
LEE
30%
26%
44%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
STO
0 - 1
REA
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
STO
0 - 1
WIG
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
STO
1 - 0
MIL
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2004 |
WHU
2 - 0
STO
68%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
STO
0 - 1
REA
43%
28%
30%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |