Reading vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 0
REA
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
IPS
5 - 2
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
REA
1 - 1
WYC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
REA
1 - 0
SHE
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
BIR
1 - 2
REA
51%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
STO
1 - 0
BRA
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
STO
2 - 1
MAC
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 1996 |
OLD
1 - 2
STO
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
STO
1 - 0
SOU
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
OLD
2 - 0
STO
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |