Reading vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 1
REA
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
IPS
65%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
REA
3 - 0
BHA
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 1
REA
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
REA
3 - 0
WHU
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
STE
0 - 1
LEY
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
WYC
0 - 1
STE
29%
28%
43%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
COL
1 - 6
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
TRA
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PNE
0 - 0
STE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |