Reading vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
ARS
4 - 1
REA
78%
14%
7%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MUD
1 - 0
REA
86%
10%
4%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
REA
1 - 2
ASV
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
EVE
3 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
WIG
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 1
CHL
16%
22%
62%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
3 - 1
LIV
23%
25%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 0
SOU
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
QPR
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NEW
4 - 2
SOU
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |