Reading vs Portsmouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 1
REA
23%
26%
51%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MAC
1 - 0
REA
70%
19%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
IPS
1 - 3
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
REA
5 - 2
MID
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
EVE
0 - 1
REA
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Portsmouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
LEI
0 - 1
OPA
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
OPA
0 - 0
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
BRI
2 - 1
OPA
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
OPA
1 - 0
SHE
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
OPA
2 - 0
SCU
74%
17%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |