Reading vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
DAG
1 - 2
REA
16%
22%
62%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 0
REA
27%
26%
48%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
DER
0 - 4
REA
26%
26%
48%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
REA
0 - 1
TOT
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
WIG
0 - 0
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
LUT
2 - 0
PLY
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
PLY
2 - 2
WOL
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
WOL
1 - 0
PLY
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
PLY
3 - 0
BPO
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
PLY
2 - 2
PNE
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |