Reading vs Plymouth Argyle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
WIG
3 - 1
REA
56%
26%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
REA
1 - 2
WOL
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
CAR
2 - 0
REA
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
REA
1 - 0
NTT
55%
26%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
SUN
1 - 2
REA
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Plymouth Argyle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2005 |
PLY
0 - 0
LEI
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
BUR
2 - 0
PLY
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
PLY
1 - 1
COV
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
STO
2 - 0
PLY
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
NTT
0 - 3
PLY
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |