Reading vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
WYC
2 - 0
REA
42%
25%
32%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
REA
2 - 2
STO
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
BAR
3 - 0
REA
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
IPS
5 - 2
REA
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
REA
1 - 1
WYC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NOR
2 - 3
OXF
56%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
POR
2 - 0
OXF
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
5 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
OXF
1 - 1
NOR
54%
23%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |