Reading vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2003 |
BOS
1 - 3
REA
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
IPS
1 - 1
REA
67%
20%
14%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
STO
1 - 0
REA
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
WAT
0 - 3
REA
46%
26%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
REA
2 - 1
GRI
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
POR
0 - 0
NTT
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NTT
2 - 0
SUN
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ROT
2 - 2
NTT
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
NTT
3 - 3
MIL
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
NTT
2 - 0
BUR
53%
24%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |