Reading vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
STE
1 - 1
REA
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
CHE
1 - 0
REA
16%
19%
65%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
REA
2 - 0
FLE
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
STO
4 - 1
REA
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
BRO
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 4
POS
11%
15%
75%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 0
FLE
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
GIL
0 - 2
NEW
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NEW
0 - 3
CHE
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |