FA Cup 1/16
Global 4-7
Reading vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
REA
2 - 1
SUN
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
NEW
4 - 0
REA
76%
14%
10%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1989 |
REA
3 - 1
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1989 |
REA
2 - 2
BRI
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1989 |
BRI
2 - 3
REA
68%
19%
13%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
OLD
1 - 1
NEW
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1990 |
NEW
5 - 4
LEI
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1990 |
HUL
0 - 1
NEW
36%
25%
39%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1990 |
NEW
1 - 4
WOL
72%
17%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -2 |
| 30 Dec. 1989 |
SWI
1 - 1
NEW
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |