Reading vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
PNE
0 - 3
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
BHA
0 - 2
REA
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
REA
1 - 2
PLY
50%
26%
23%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
WIG
3 - 1
REA
56%
26%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
REA
1 - 2
WOL
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 1
STO
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 0
COV
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LEE
2 - 1
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
MIL
0 - 0
BUR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
SHE
0 - 1
MIL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |