Reading vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
WIG
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
IPS
1 - 2
REA
33%
27%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
ROT
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
SHE
4 - 0
REA
67%
21%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
REA
2 - 1
BBU
29%
27%
45%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 1
LEE
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
LEE
4 - 0
WBA
31%
28%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 0
LEE
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
LEE
2 - 1
BOL
70%
20%
10%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LEE
2 - 1
SWA
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |