Reading vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COV
0 - 0
REA
23%
26%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
REA
2 - 3
SHE
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 0
REA
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
REA
3 - 1
LEI
58%
23%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
SCU
0 - 2
REA
20%
24%
56%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
DER
0 - 2
BRI
49%
25%
27%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 2
DER
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
DER
2 - 4
BUR
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
QPR
0 - 0
DER
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
DER
2 - 1
LEE
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |