Reading vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
LEI
1 - 1
REA
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
REA
1 - 1
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
REA
0 - 0
WAT
60%
23%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
BUR
0 - 3
REA
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
REA
2 - 1
PNE
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
DER
2 - 1
CRY
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
LUT
1 - 0
DER
56%
22%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
DER
3 - 0
BUR
58%
23%
18%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WAT
2 - 2
DER
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
DER
1 - 0
PLY
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |