Reading vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
SHE
1 - 2
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2006 |
REA
1 - 0
MAC
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WIG
1 - 0
REA
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ASV
2 - 1
REA
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
REA
3 - 2
MID
42%
28%
31%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 1
BRO
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 0
BCF
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
POS
1 - 3
DAR
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
DAR
1 - 1
GUL
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |