Reading vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
REA
3 - 2
CRY
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
COV
1 - 1
REA
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
REA
2 - 1
BUR
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
WAT
0 - 0
REA
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
REA
3 - 1
SWA
60%
23%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2005 |
PLY
1 - 1
CRE
47%
25%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 1
DER
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2005 |
CRE
1 - 3
SHE
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRE
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2005 |
LIN
5 - 1
CRE
36%
25%
40%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |