Reading vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
POS
1 - 2
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
REA
4 - 1
TRA
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
REA
1 - 0
WEL
82%
12%
6%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
REA
3 - 2
BRI
56%
23%
20%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2001 |
REA
2 - 0
WRE
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 1
BOU
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2001 |
WIG
1 - 1
CHE
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2001 |
STA
0 - 3
CHE
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2001 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
CHE
2 - 0
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |