Reading vs Charlton Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
EAS
2 - 1
REA
13%
18%
69%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
REA
5 - 1
CUM
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
WYC
1 - 2
REA
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
REA
5 - 2
ARS
59%
20%
21%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STF
3 - 2
REA
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Charlton Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
GIL
2 - 0
CHA
21%
22%
58%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 1
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CUM
1 - 1
CHA
25%
25%
49%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 0
SUT
72%
17%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
CRA
1 - 6
CHA
10%
16%
75%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |