Championship Playoff Play Offs Semi-finals
Global 3-0
Reading vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
REA
2 - 1
DER
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
COV
0 - 0
REA
23%
26%
52%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
REA
2 - 3
SHE
77%
16%
7%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
LEE
0 - 0
REA
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
REA
3 - 1
LEI
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
BUR
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 3
MID
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
PNE
0 - 1
CAR
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
QPR
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 0
OPA
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |