Reading vs Bristol City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2001 |
REA
2 - 0
WRE
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
NOR
0 - 2
REA
30%
27%
44%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
REA
1 - 2
BRE
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
OLD
0 - 1
REA
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
NOT
3 - 4
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Bristol City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
BRI
0 - 1
BHA
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
STO
1 - 0
BRI
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
BRI
1 - 0
BOU
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
BRI
0 - 1
WYC
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
OLD
0 - 1
BRI
46%
25%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |