Reading vs Birmingham City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
DER
1 - 3
REA
37%
26%
36%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
REA
1 - 0
LEE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
REA
0 - 0
BHA
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
YEO
0 - 1
REA
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
POS
6 - 0
REA
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Birmingham City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
BIR
3 - 1
SWA
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
BIR
4 - 1
SHW
56%
24%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 0
BIR
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
QPR
1 - 0
BIR
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
BIR
1 - 1
IPS
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |