FA Cup Previa 2
Global 1-2
Reading City vs Nailsea and Tickenham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 1
EDT
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 1
HFC
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
BRU
59%
19%
22%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
1 - 0
BUR
51%
20%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 2
ARD
55%
20%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nailsea and Tickenham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
NAT
4 - 2
STB
59%
19%
21%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NAT
5 - 1
TOR
30%
22%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ILF
1 - 1
NAT
44%
22%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BAR
4 - 0
NAT
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
WEL
0 - 0
NAT
16%
18%
67%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |