Reading City vs Ardley United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reading City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
2 - 1
EGH
61%
19%
21%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
6 - 1
CHA
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
WAE
1 - 1
RAC
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
RAC
12%
17%
71%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
RAC
3 - 2
NOR
35%
21%
44%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ardley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
4 - 0
NOR
25%
21%
54%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 2
ARD
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 2
RIS
21%
21%
59%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
WEM
1 - 2
ARD
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ARD
1 - 1
BUR
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |