UEFA EC U21 Final
Global 4-5
East Germany U21 vs Yugoslavia 21s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
3.69
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.9%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
East Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
3 - 1
BGR
65%
19%
17%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
BGR
2 - 1
DDR
58%
21%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
DDR
5 - 2
CSK
60%
20%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
CSK
3 - 1
DDR
62%
20%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Yugoslavia 21s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 1
YUG
58%
21%
21%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
YUG
2 - 1
ENG
63%
19%
18%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
HUN
0 - 2
YUG
88%
8%
4%
|
5 | 59 | 54 | +3 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
YUG
0 - 1
HUN
22%
27%
51%
|
5 | 59 | 54 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1972 |
BGR
2 - 1
YUG
89%
8%
3%
|
6 | 81 | 75 | -1 |