RD Congo vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
MRT
1 - 1
COD
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
COD
3 - 1
MRT
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
3 - 0
COD
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
COD
0 - 0
CIV
19%
24%
57%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COD
0 - 0
UGA
53%
25%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
TZA
0 - 1
UGA
31%
27%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
UGA
0 - 1
TZA
57%
25%
19%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UGA
1 - 3
CIV
15%
23%
62%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
SEN
0 - 1
UGA
76%
16%
7%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
COD
0 - 0
UGA
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |