WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 8-2
RD Congo vs Esuatini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 3
COD
13%
21%
66%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 3
COD
16%
22%
62%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
COD
2 - 3
CMR
25%
27%
49%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SEN
2 - 0
COD
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 2
COD
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Esuatini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 3
COD
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
SWZ
0 - 1
CGO
18%
25%
58%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
GHA
2 - 0
SWZ
78%
16%
6%
|
47 | 83 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 1
SWZ
49%
24%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |