CAF Egipto Final
Global 4-2
RD Congo vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
9.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
2 - 3
COD
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1974 |
COD
4 - 1
MUS
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1974 |
CGO
2 - 1
COD
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
COD
2 - 1
GUI
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1972 |
CMR
5 - 2
COD
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1974 |
CGO
2 - 4
ZAM
71%
16%
13%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
ZAM
1 - 0
UGA
62%
19%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1974 |
EGY
3 - 1
ZAM
80%
12%
8%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1974 |
ZAM
1 - 0
CIV
54%
22%
25%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 1973 |
UGA
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
19%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |