RD Congo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
40.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 0
COD
21%
23%
55%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
2 - 2
COD
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
COD
22%
24%
55%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COD
4 - 0
EQG
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
COD
3 - 0
SYC
84%
12%
5%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
1 - 0
MLI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 0
NIG
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 4
MLI
25%
27%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MLI
3 - 0
BOT
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
MLI
2 - 1
ALG
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |