RD Congo vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
1 - 1
COD
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
COD
1 - 1
TAN
66%
20%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
COD
1 - 1
MLI
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
TUN
1 - 0
COD
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
COD
1 - 0
GAM
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
TAN
3 - 2
MAD
43%
25%
32%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 1
BEN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
NIG
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
ETH
4 - 0
MAD
42%
25%
34%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
MAD
1 - 1
CIV
17%
24%
60%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | 0 |