RD Congo vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RD Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
RWA
1 - 0
COD
21%
24%
55%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
COD
2 - 2
BDI
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 3
COD
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
GAB
1 - 2
COD
38%
26%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 2
COD
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
ETH
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 4
CGO
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
ETH
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ETH
3 - 0
STP
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |