Real Ariquemes vs Tocantinópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
RDA
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RDA
0 - 0
CAC
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RDA
2 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
POR
2 - 1
RDA
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
RDA
1 - 1
POR
36%
25%
38%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tocantinópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 0
TOC
66%
23%
11%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
0 - 3
SAO
18%
29%
53%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOC
1 - 0
SAN
31%
27%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOC
67%
19%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
TOC
4 - 1
SAO
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |