Real Ariquemes vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
RDA
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 1
POR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
RDA
80%
15%
6%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
BRA
11%
23%
66%
|
39 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
RDA
1 - 0
GUA
60%
21%
19%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
4DE
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
GAS
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
FAS
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |