Real Ariquemes vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
40.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 0
PAR
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
REC
1 - 1
RDA
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
2 - 0
VIL
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
0 - 0
RDA
22%
21%
57%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
RDA
3 - 1
CAR
31%
23%
46%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 0
SAO
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
NAC
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
PRI
55%
23%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEN
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
NAC
7%
13%
80%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | -2 |