Espanyol U19 vs Mercantil Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
3º
2º
20
11º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 74 |
1º
|
65% | |
|
|
2º
|
46 | 69 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 63 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
67.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 42 |
6º
|
37.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 42 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 39 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 37 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 37 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 33 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 31 |
12º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 31 |
13º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 27 |
14º
|
40.5% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
61.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 14 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
68.5% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 44% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Espanyol U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
ZAR
2 - 3
RCD
25%
23%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
RCD
0 - 1
GIR
77%
15%
8%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CFD
1 - 2
RCD
17%
21%
62%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
RCD
2 - 0
CFS
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CFB
0 - 3
RCD
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Mercantil Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MLL
1 - 0
CEM
80%
12%
7%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CEM
1 - 1
GIM
29%
22%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
UDC
3 - 1
CEM
48%
24%
28%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
MAN
45%
22%
33%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CEM
0 - 0
CDS
48%
22%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |