RCD Carabanchel vs Santa Eugenia 1976 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
COL
60%
22%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
LEG
0 - 1
CAR
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
ARG
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
CAR
29%
24%
47%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Eugenia 1976
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
VCJ
0 - 2
SEU
15%
20%
65%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
SEU
4 - 1
ARA
41%
25%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
SEU
49%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SEU
2 - 0
LEG
41%
26%
33%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ARG
2 - 5
SEU
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |