Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-3
RCD Carabanchel vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
1 - 0
TUD
53%
23%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
OSA
1 - 0
CAR
85%
11%
4%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
MER
1 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
0 - 2
TAL
55%
23%
23%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
AND
2 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
MER
0 - 0
ELC
30%
29%
42%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
BET
2 - 0
MER
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
MER
1 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
MER
2 - 1
CFC
37%
28%
35%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
CDB
2 - 0
MER
75%
16%
9%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -1 |