Strasbourg II vs US Thionville Lusitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
10.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+126%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
13º
13º
55
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
REI
47%
22%
31%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
MEZ
57%
22%
22%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
THA
0 - 2
STR
53%
23%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STR
2 - 2
SAR
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
US Thionville Lusitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THL
3 - 0
MEZ
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
THA
1 - 1
THL
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
THL
5 - 2
SAR
6%
11%
83%
|
10 | 35 | 25 | +6 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
THL
87%
9%
4%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
THL
3 - 1
OBE
30%
21%
49%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +1 |