Strasbourg II vs Besancon RC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
4º
13º
11º
4
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
4 | 53 |
1º
|
57.5% | |
|
1º
|
5 | 46 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
|
5º
|
4 | 40 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 39 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 38 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 37 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 36 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 35 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 33 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 33 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 33 |
11º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 29 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 26 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 24 |
14º
|
25% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Strasbourg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
STR
0 - 0
BFC
54%
21%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 4
STR
65%
19%
16%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MET
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
STR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
STR
2 - 5
REI
28%
23%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Besancon RC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BRC
2 - 1
RAO
53%
24%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BRC
1 - 1
BIE
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FEI
1 - 0
BRC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
BRC
3 - 4
FCS
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
BRC
46%
25%
29%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |