RC Épernay Champagne vs Valence analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.3%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.8%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
76%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valence
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
VAL
1 - 2
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
STL
2 - 2
VAL
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
CLE
1 - 1
VAL
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
VAL
2 - 1
FCR
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |