RC Épernay Champagne vs Troyes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
12º
11º
48
2º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Épernay Champagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 0
RCE
74%
17%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RCE
0 - 1
THA
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RCE
5 - 1
JAR
62%
19%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 1
RCE
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
RCE
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 4
TRO
14%
18%
67%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 0
TRO
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
STR
49%
25%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
REI
1 - 2
TRO
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 2
TRO
25%
21%
53%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |