RC Épernay Champagne vs Thaon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
7º
12º
11º
44
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RC Épernay Champagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RCE
5 - 1
JAR
62%
19%
18%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MEZ
2 - 1
RCE
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BIE
1 - 1
RCE
75%
16%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
ILL
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
RCE
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Thaon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
CHA
78%
14%
9%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAR
2 - 2
THA
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
THA
1 - 3
SCH
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 3
SAR
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
THA
0 - 0
NAN
7%
18%
76%
|
41 | 79 | 38 | +1 |