RB Leipzig vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
3º
14º
4º
73
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
LEV
3 - 2
RBL
26%
24%
51%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BYM
0 - 3
RBL
68%
18%
15%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
RBL
3 - 0
UDL
84%
12%
4%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
RBL
4 - 0
STR
82%
13%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
RBL
9 - 2
ALT
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 52 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STU
5 - 0
RTV
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 4
STU
5%
13%
82%
|
82 | 46 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SHE
0 - 3
STU
45%
24%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MON
5 - 1
STU
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MUN
0 - 2
STU
21%
22%
58%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |