RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 analysis

RB Leipzig Mainz 05
95 ELO 85
-3.9% Tilt 23.6%
10º General ELO ranking 129º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
73.6%
RB Leipzig
16.9%
Draw
9.5%
Mainz 05

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.6%
Win probability
RB Leipzig
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
9.5%
Win probability
Mainz 05
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

RB Leipzig
Their league position
Mainz 05
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
14º
35
12º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
B. Leverkusen
90
90
100%
Stuttgart
73
73
100%
Bayern München
72
72
100%
RB Leipzig
65
65
100%
B. Dortmund
63
63
100%
Eintracht Frankfurt
47
47
100%
Hoffenheim
46
46
100%
Heidenheim
42
42
0%
Werder Bremen
42
42
0%
SC Freiburg
10º
42
42
10º
100%
FC Augsburg
11º
39
39
11º
100%
Wolfsburg
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Mainz 05
13º
35
35
13º
100%
B. Mönchengladbach
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Union Berlin
15º
33
33
15º
0%
VfL Bochum
16º
33
33
16º
0%
Köln
17º
27
27
17º
100%
Darmstadt 98
18º
17
17
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

RB Leipzig
Mainz 05
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2024
KOL
Köln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig
RBL
11%
18%
71%
95 84 11 0
09 Mar. 2024
RBL
RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
78%
15%
7%
95 79 16 0
06 Mar. 2024
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
68%
18%
14%
95 99 4 0
02 Mar. 2024
RTV
VfL Bochum
1 - 4
RB Leipzig
RBL
13%
19%
68%
95 82 13 0
24 Feb. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
2 - 1
RB Leipzig
RBL
65%
19%
16%
94 99 5 +1

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
2 - 0
VfL Bochum
RTV
42%
25%
33%
84 82 2 0
09 Mar. 2024
BYM
Bayern München
8 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
84%
11%
5%
84 99 15 0
02 Mar. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 1
B. Mönchengladbach
MON
24%
23%
53%
84 88 4 0
23 Feb. 2024
LEV
B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
75%
16%
9%
84 95 11 0
17 Feb. 2024
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
45%
25%
29%
83 81 2 +1
X