RB Leipzig vs B. Mönchengladbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
4º
30
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 86 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 75 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 62 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 62 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 56 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 49 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 48 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 45 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 38 |
12º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
33.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 26 |
16º
|
34.5% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
42% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 22 |
18º
|
56.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
79.5% | 3% |
|
Europa League
|
11.5% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2024 |
CEL
3 - 1
RBL
12%
17%
71%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BVB
2 - 1
RBL
37%
23%
40%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RBL
4 - 2
STP
75%
16%
9%
|
98 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
RBL
3 - 1
SCF
67%
20%
13%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
RBL
0 - 1
LIV
32%
24%
44%
|
98 | 99 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
B. Mönchengladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MON
4 - 1
BRE
42%
24%
34%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 1
MON
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
M05
1 - 1
MON
32%
24%
44%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
HEI
46%
25%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
VER
0 - 5
MON
13%
18%
70%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |