RB Leipzig vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
66
3º
12º
3º
71
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
100% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
RBL
1 - 4
SHA
55%
23%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
EIN
4 - 0
RBL
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
OTT
0 - 8
RBL
8%
17%
74%
|
89 | 42 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
RBL
2 - 0
WOL
58%
23%
20%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
21%
23%
57%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BVB
3 - 0
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BVB
1 - 0
HOF
62%
20%
19%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 3
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
1 - 3
BVB
20%
21%
59%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |