RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
7º
3º
0
12º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
82% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
8.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 44% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 45% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 4
RBL
8%
15%
77%
|
97 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 1
PSG
58%
22%
21%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 0
ASV
66%
20%
14%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
EIN
2 - 2
RBL
15%
20%
66%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SSV
1 - 0
RTV
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 6
RTV
23%
24%
54%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
RTV
4 - 0
BOL
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SPE
3 - 1
RTV
30%
24%
47%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MAG
1 - 1
RTV
25%
23%
52%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |