RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
8.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
2º
7º
3º
5
5º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
9 | 85 |
1º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 74 |
2º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 73 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 72 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 58 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 52 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 51 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 43 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
6 | 40 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 40 |
11º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
5 | 39 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 36 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 31 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 28 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 25 |
18º
|
27.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
82% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
8.5% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 4.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 82% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 6.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2024 |
RBL
3 - 1
MEU
83%
13%
5%
|
98 | 46 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
2 - 3
RBL
41%
24%
35%
|
97 | 97 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 0
RTV
77%
16%
7%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ROT
1 - 4
RBL
8%
15%
77%
|
97 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 1
PSG
58%
22%
21%
|
97 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 0
STP
47%
24%
29%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
M05
1 - 1
FCU
43%
26%
31%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
FCU
9%
20%
71%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
1 - 1
RSO
37%
27%
36%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCU
0 - 4
LYO
40%
25%
35%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |