RB Leipzig U19 vs Erzgebirge Aue U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.6%
13.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
8º
2º
14
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 22 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 22 |
3º
|
41.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
40.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 16 |
6º
|
2.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 16 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 15 |
8º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
LEI
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
LEI
3 - 1
LIV
24%
20%
56%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +4 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
LEI
0 - 3
JUV
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DDR
1 - 2
LEI
38%
24%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
COT
1 - 1
LEI
29%
23%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
2 - 1
CZJ
54%
20%
26%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 2
COT
49%
21%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
HER
2 - 3
ERA
77%
13%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
DDR
4 - 1
ERA
54%
20%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ERA
0 - 1
HAL
57%
20%
24%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |