Cup Paulista Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
RB Brasil vs Mirassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
2 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
RBB
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 0
RBB
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
MIR
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
3 - 3
AUD
62%
22%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Mirassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
2 - 3
AUD
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
MIR
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
0 - 0
RBB
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2018 |
RBB
1 - 1
MIR
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 0
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |